This Is Not WW3: Allies Russia and China Will Not Rush to Defend Syria

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Putin regarded the strike "as aggression against a sovereign nation" that was carried out "in violation of international law, and also under an invented pretext. “Russia would allow a one-time event to slide,” Pavel Felgenhauer, a veteran military policy specialist in Moscow, told ABC News. “There’s going to be fireworks of condemnation coming from Moscow. But Russia still wants to find an understanding with Trump.” There were indications that Russia did hope to continue a dialogue with the United States despite the hot words. There was, for instance, no suggestion Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, who is due to visit Moscow next week on his first trip there, would be uninvited now. The head of Russia’s parliamentary committee on international affairs, Leonid Slutsky, told the Russian state television network, Rossiya 24, that Russia would not “close itself behind walls” with the United States. The Russian leaders' condemnation stood out on the global stage, where most leaders, especially U.S. allies, appeared to support Trump's decision to strike the air base linked with the deadly and illegal chemical weapons attack. Syria and Russia have denied that the government was responsible." [Source]

"Russia is not going there to conduct armed activity with the US; our task there is to support the Syrian armed forces in the fight against terrorism," Ozerov told the Russian news agency, adding, "We have a mandate to fulfill this very task." [Source]

April 7, 2017

(andywarhaul at subreddit conspiracy) - This may be a shock but China, Russia and the US couldn't give a damn about Assad, the people of Syria, and whether or not they were gassed by Assad. Forget if the attack is a false flag or not because it doesn't effect the point, and the point is, they all only give a shit about gas and oil.

Let's lay it out to highlight why toppling Assad is important to Israel, USA, and Saudi Arabia. And why keeping Assad standing is important to Russia and Turkey. It will also highlight why China and Iran don't give a hoot about what happens either way.

Scene is the Middle East

The big players are Iran, Syria, Turkey, Russia, Israel, USA, Saudi Arabia and China.

The prize is the South Pars gas/oil field.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Pars_/_North_Dome_Gas-Condensate_field

The Iranians have an insane amount of untapped gas and oil. A combination of sanctions by the US, the inaccessibility of the reserves, and scores of other more easily accessed reserves have delayed Iran developing on it. They have just started producing in the last week or so.

http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Irans-South-Pars-Oil-Field-To-Produce-By-End-Of-March.html

The closest market for all that oil is Europe but you need a pipeline to get it there. There are a few options of where it could go through.

Iran doesn't give a hoot about where the gas and oil goes at all because, no matter what, they are getting paid.

China also doesn't give a hoot because they, along with a French company, have a 50% stake in the deal with Iran to develop the field. On top of that, they are reported to be involved in investing over 42 billion dollars in developing the portion of the pipeline in Iran.

Let's look at the possible routes for that pipeline once it leaves Iran.

We'll call this one the American Express:

http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/335809bc5a4500918ff797c8a540c039

And this one the Russian Run:

https://m.imgur.com/a/nECpe

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Persian_Pipeline

So starting with the American Express, we've established that between Iran and China the development and pipeline infrastructure inside Iran is covered. Both Iran and China will make money no matter what.

With the American Express the next stage would be building a pipeline through Iraq.

Getting into the finer mechanics, the US, the Saudis, and the Israelis all lack control over Iran and Turkey; in other words, they wouldn't be getting a cut of the profits if it goes through Turkey. Plus they have their own natural gas and oil asserts that would see a decrease in value when the South Pars starts producing full blast. So they want to make sure they are getting a cut.

Next they are going to want to make a route over which they have total control. The shortest route between Iran and the Mediterranean is through Iraq and Syria. So ideally you would want to take control of both of those countries to build your pipeline.



Iraq ✅ - the US took care of that some time ago.

Syria ❌


With Iraq under control that pesky Assad is all that stands in the way of the pipeline. Thank god for American aptitude at scheming to topple regimes. America is so talented at doing this that they cooked up a top shelf idea. What if you could take out two, maybe even more birds at once with one stone? We're talking about consolidating oil/gas/energy power here and, in that realm, Gaddafi's Libya was a major hindrance and threat to future oil/gas value and power for the Saudis and Israelis in the region.

The plan they hatched would solve the Gaddafi problem as well as work towards toppling Assad, and they might just get lucky and bring down a couple more dictators with them. They would need a plan like this, as the Russians were supporting Assad due to their interests, which we will get into with the Russian Run.

Phase one of the plan was orchestrating and precipitating the "Arab Spring". The goal was to destabilize the region and spark rebellions by the people: destabilizing the region surrounding a target (Assad) is a classic regime toppling technique.

https://wikileaks.org/google-is-not-what-it-seems/

Phase two is to fund and arm a group of rebels to form an army. Once the uprising in Libya was sparked, the US used their intelligence of the Libyan demographics and social structure to did their army. When Gaddafi came to power it was under the promise that strict sharia law would be the lay of the land and there would a be Sharia court that ruled supreme. He fell through on that promise, and while sharia law was practiced in Libya, it was not enforced in the traditional sense. He also created a civil sharia court system but it was essentially a bullshit court that didn't have the power the extremist population wanted. Gaddafi quickly grasped the country in an Iron fist with his loyal military (he was an army man) and crushed any dissenters. In other words, there were many angry extremist Libyans who were upset with Gaddafi but were suppressed by his military strength. The US knew that there were some 200,000 of these extremists willing to fight Gaddafi. They sent money and weapons to these 200,000 "rebels" and then, with their friends, the US bombed the shit out of Gaddafi's Air Force, choking his military's main weapon. With no airforce and a heavily-armed, well funded and angry army of 200,000 tearing through the country, it wasn't long until Gaddafi fell.

A few goals were achieved:

1. They stopped Gaddafi from creating a North African currency.
2. They eliminated a threat to their control over the region.
3. They took control over an oil competitor. 

Libya was producing 1.6 million barrels of oil a day before the civil war. Just this passed year they have managed to get back to 500,000 barrels a day. Libya is no longer a competitor.

The main goal was that they had an army on the ground now in the 200,000 rebels. These "rebels" were cheated: they thought they would take over Libya and make it a sharia paradise, but the Americans did what they do and installed a puppet government. Screwed in that respect and screwed in the respect that their country was now destroyed, 100,000 of the rebels (with some guidance, I'm sure; we know various intelligence assets are involved with these groups in the region) decided that they would leave Libya with their guns and money and make their way on to Syria where the uprising was still going on (and Assad stood as another "not extremist enough" leader who they could take down). On their way over, they met up with various groups that used to make up the Iraqi army, including many former officers.

Together they morphed like a messed-up power ranger to make ISIS. They would wreak havoc over the region for the better half of a decade. But thanks to the Russian backing, Syria held strong the entire time. The plan was hitting a snag: Assad needed to fall, and it looked like it would take real military intervention. But that won't happen as long as Russia backs them. Sarin gas false flag attacks are a good way to weaken Russia's support for Assad and sway public opinion to go to war. They tried that in 2013 and it didn't quite work. Obama was close and so ready to drop the bombs but he was stopped by Congress.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/aug/31/syrian-air-strikes-obama-congress

https://www.lrb.co.uk/v35/n24/seymour-m-hersh/whose-sarin

So the American Saudi-Israeli faction failed to clear the way for their pipeline. We will pause there for right now.

ISIS is being ejected from Syria, and it appears as though they are winning the civil war.

Now on the other side we have the Russian Run.

Phase one would be to ensure there is no path for the oppositions pipeline by supporting Assad and not letting Syria fall. Done.

The three (Iran, Russia and Turkey) even have a plan to split up Syria into control zones for themselves

http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN14H12V


Phase two would be to build the pipeline infrastructure for the new route.

This pipeline already exists and could be adapted:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tabriz%E2%80%93Ankara_pipeline 

But this pipeline was the new option:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Persian_Pipeline

So infrastructure is nearly completed or already completed. That, combined with production at the South Pars field finally starting to flow, made the Russian Run a much more serious and impending reality.

Just look how cozy all of the players involved in the Russian Run are getting lately.

Russia selling $10 billion in arms to Iran:

http://thediplomat.com/2016/11/iran-and-russia-negotiating-10-billion-arms-deal/

Negotiating and agreeing on stuff; money really brings everyone together:

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2017/01/iran-reaction-russia-turkey-ceasefire-deal-syria.html

Turkey seems to accept Assad; see guys, we're all friends now:

https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/01/20/world/middleeast/russia-turkey-syria-deal.html

They were clamping it down in Syria:

http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/13784886

There's even a prophecy that these allies will join to fight Israel, but that's more for fun:

http://www.alphanewsdaily.com/Warning%206%20Russia%20Iran%20Invasion.html

But there's some small snags in the Russian Run as well. Russia wants the West to have no influence over anyone involved in this deal, to keep their hands off of it completely. This would include getting Turkey out of NATO (Turkey is also a key location for NATO in the region). I believe they got the ball rolling on that one by arranging for the Russian Ambassador to Turkey to be assassinated:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/12/19/europe/turkey-russian-ambassador-shot/

Many people were quick (including Russia and Turkey) to blame Western intelligence for the assassination, but I think that's a little too perfect. Just look at the situation: the only security guard on the Amb detail ends up being the shooter. Think about who controls his security schedule and who would have handled security at the venue. Sounds like an inside job if I've ever seen one. And if it was the West's doing, it would be with the purpose of souring Russia-Turkey relations. But they would have been able to see through that easily. In my opinion, it serves the will of Russia and Turkey far more: it's a precursor for Turkey to leave NATO, claiming a lack of trust in other members. Don't believe me? Not two weeks after the assassination, the Turks are asserting their right to close an air base used by NATO to conduct air strikes on Syria:

http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/01/05/turkey-leaving-nato-asserts-right-to-close-key-base-for-coalition/

They are absolutely gearing up for Turkey to leave NATO.

With all these things falling in place for the Russian Run, they are oh so close to making the pipeline, and the billions of dollars attached to it, a reality!

But as of this week, it looks like the American Express is taking one last swing at conquering Syria. A second Sarin gas attack has allegedly taken place and the evidence suggests that it was most likely carried out by terrorist groups in Syria:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-06/ron-paul-zero-chance-assad-behind-chemical-weapons-attack-syria-likely-false-flag

All chemical weapons were taken from Assad in 2013:

http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSBRE98E01W20130915

ISIS manufacturing chemical weapons in Syria:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/isis-manufacturing-and-using-chemical-weapons-in-iraq-and-syria-us-official-claims-10496094.html 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-34211838

And they use them:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cia-director-john-brennan-60-minutes-scott-pelley/

If this attack is used to precipitate a US-Syria war, then it appears that the American Express is still wanting to push through. But with the Russian Run so close to completion, does it really matter? Iran is going to want to start making money ASAP, so if the Russian Run line is completed first (which it will) then I'm sure they will go with it ... unless some pesky US sanctions appear and force them to slow down development again:

http://www.ogj.com/articles/print/volume-96/issue-21/in-this-issue/general-interest/us-waives-sanctions-on-south-pars-field.html

To sum up my point: it's too late for Syria; they have played their role in scheme for Russia, and Russia and Turkey are so close to the prize that it's no longer as pressing of an issue to ensure Assad stays in power. Because of that, Russia won't be rushing to start World War 3 with the US. And China certainly won't because they are getting paid, regardless. I think this is a feeble attempt by the controlling powers of the West to bundle in one last shot at getting Syria while at the same time creating a situation that will muddy the waters for the Trump administration.

So don't fret. World War 3 won't start over this, unless the US does some bat-shit insane move like invading Iran...who wanted that again?

http://www.globalresearch.ca/hillary-clinton-if-im-president-we-will-attack-iran/5460484

Some other links:

Iran China $600 billion

https://www.dawn.com/news/1234923

Iran will out produce Qatar

https://www.pressreader.com/lebanon/the-daily-star-lebanon/20170317/281612420213503

South Pars starts

http://www.offshore-mag.com/articles/2017/03/iran-starts-up-south-pars-oil-phase-20-gas.html

http://pogc.ir/Default.aspx?tabid=136

Meeting day after assassination of Amb

http://www.rferl.org/a/russia-iran-turkey-meet-on-syria-december-20-despite-ambassador-assassination-ankara/28186096.html

[–]Sabremesh

I think the fact that Tomahawk missiles were launched as Trump was hosting Xi Jinping to dinner is nailed on proof that this was theatre. Think of it as a "gift" from Xi Jinping (with Putin's blessing) to help Trump out personally with the hostile media attention he is getting at home. All parties knew where and when the attacks were coming (including Assad, who would have been informed by Russia).