Scientists Fear H5N1 will Mutate into a Form Readily Transmissible between Humans, with the Potential to Cause Millions of DeathsNot necessarily ruling out EMP, but perhaps suggesting concurrent disasters. I agree, prophets looking to our day have almost universally warned of plagues and pestilences. However in the event of EMP much of our infrastructure currently in place might become defunct. Imagine living in a city with hundreds of thousands of people and no source of clean water or means of reliable sanitation. Disease would be a very real issue, especially if so many people were dying that bodies began piling up in the streets and nobody was taking it upon themselves to dispose of them. No source of clean water, sewage building up, untended bodies, would lead to a huge risk of disease, as well as all manner of pests proliferating. Flies, rats, roaches, etc. Edit: missed that vital word in your post, "catalyst" :). I agree, there are plenty of scenarios in which disease could strike first, leading to other disasters. The modern day Gadiantons likely favor disease as a tool just like they favor EMP, in that both provide a chance to get rid of or subdue unwanted population while leaving valuable infrastructure and resources intact. - Fairminded, Joel Skousen Forum, October 13, 2011
AFP - The World Health Organization (WHO) said it was "deeply concerned" about research into whether the H5N1 flu virus could be made more transmissible between humans after mutant strains were produced in labs.
Two separate research teams -- one in the Netherlands and the other in the United States -- have found ways to alter the H5N1 avian influenza so it could pass easily between mammals.
Two top scientific journals said on Tuesday they were mulling whether to publish full details on how Dutch scientists mutated the H5N1 flu virus in order for it to pass from one mammal to another.
Scientists fear H5N1 will mutate into a form readily transmissible between humans, with the potential to cause millions of deaths.
"The WHO takes note that studies undertaken by several institutions on whether changes in the H5N1 influenza virus can make it more transmissible between humans have raised concern about the possible risks and misuses associated with this research," the Geneva-based United Nations body said.
"WHO is also deeply concerned about the potential negative consequences.
"However, WHO also notes that studies conducted under appropriate conditions must continue to take place so that critical scientific knowledge needed to reduce the risks posed by the H5N1 virus continues to increase."
The WHO said research which could improve the understanding of such viruses was a scientific and public health imperative.
"While it is clear that conducting research to gain such knowledge must continue, it is also clear that certain research, and especially that which can generate more dangerous forms of the virus than those which already exist, has risks.
"Therefore such research should be done only after all important public health risks and benefits have been identified and reviewed, and it is certain that the necessary protections to minimize the potential for negative consequences are in place."
The H5N1 strain of avian influenza has thus far proven fatal in 60 percent of human cases, although only 350 people have died from the disease to date, largely because it cannot yet be transmitted between humans. Indonesia has been the worst-hit country.
Most human cases have involved direct contact with infected birds. China is considered one of the nations most at risk of bird flu epidemics because it has the world's biggest poultry population and many chickens in rural areas are kept close to humans.
A man is in critical condition after testing positive for the H5N1 virus in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen, state media said on Saturday.